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Questions of the type “What do you think other people would think?”


How do you determine the strict core in a matching game?What is the difference between Stochastic game and Bayesian game ?What sort of impact would one expect on investment as a result of an approaching election?What models exist that explain which people emigrate to another country?Which think-tanks on economics do you use to keep up with the news?Do you have a list of books about the evolution of the banking sector?What are the economic perspectives regarding the game of salary negotiations?What are some sectors in which nations benefit from collaborating with other nations?What's the name for this type of non zero sum game?What do you call a game that is both simultaneous and sequential?













4












$begingroup$


For a study in the adoption of new technology, a student and I are developing a questionnaire that will poll domain experts on their opinions of what their colleagues would think about benefits/drawbacks of adopting a particular technology. This is research in social science/business but not strictly game theory, and as we are not economists, we don't know the literature.



Have economists/game theorists investigated questions of the type What do you think other people would think? If several experts can, say, draw technology acceptance distribution functions that reflect their own beliefs about the community's attitude toward a particular strength or weakness of a new technology, then the geometrical average of those distribution functions could be a starting point for inquiry into ranking the relative importance of a set of several strengths and weaknesses. Has this been done before? By whom?



We are not asking for a tutorial here, just a pointer to where should we should start looking for prior art.




Full disclosure: I asked this question on SE/Psychology and Neuroscience and did not receive meaningful answers.










share|improve this question











$endgroup$







  • 3




    $begingroup$
    You might want to consider the Keynesian beauty contest
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Mar 8 at 8:47















4












$begingroup$


For a study in the adoption of new technology, a student and I are developing a questionnaire that will poll domain experts on their opinions of what their colleagues would think about benefits/drawbacks of adopting a particular technology. This is research in social science/business but not strictly game theory, and as we are not economists, we don't know the literature.



Have economists/game theorists investigated questions of the type What do you think other people would think? If several experts can, say, draw technology acceptance distribution functions that reflect their own beliefs about the community's attitude toward a particular strength or weakness of a new technology, then the geometrical average of those distribution functions could be a starting point for inquiry into ranking the relative importance of a set of several strengths and weaknesses. Has this been done before? By whom?



We are not asking for a tutorial here, just a pointer to where should we should start looking for prior art.




Full disclosure: I asked this question on SE/Psychology and Neuroscience and did not receive meaningful answers.










share|improve this question











$endgroup$







  • 3




    $begingroup$
    You might want to consider the Keynesian beauty contest
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Mar 8 at 8:47













4












4








4





$begingroup$


For a study in the adoption of new technology, a student and I are developing a questionnaire that will poll domain experts on their opinions of what their colleagues would think about benefits/drawbacks of adopting a particular technology. This is research in social science/business but not strictly game theory, and as we are not economists, we don't know the literature.



Have economists/game theorists investigated questions of the type What do you think other people would think? If several experts can, say, draw technology acceptance distribution functions that reflect their own beliefs about the community's attitude toward a particular strength or weakness of a new technology, then the geometrical average of those distribution functions could be a starting point for inquiry into ranking the relative importance of a set of several strengths and weaknesses. Has this been done before? By whom?



We are not asking for a tutorial here, just a pointer to where should we should start looking for prior art.




Full disclosure: I asked this question on SE/Psychology and Neuroscience and did not receive meaningful answers.










share|improve this question











$endgroup$




For a study in the adoption of new technology, a student and I are developing a questionnaire that will poll domain experts on their opinions of what their colleagues would think about benefits/drawbacks of adopting a particular technology. This is research in social science/business but not strictly game theory, and as we are not economists, we don't know the literature.



Have economists/game theorists investigated questions of the type What do you think other people would think? If several experts can, say, draw technology acceptance distribution functions that reflect their own beliefs about the community's attitude toward a particular strength or weakness of a new technology, then the geometrical average of those distribution functions could be a starting point for inquiry into ranking the relative importance of a set of several strengths and weaknesses. Has this been done before? By whom?



We are not asking for a tutorial here, just a pointer to where should we should start looking for prior art.




Full disclosure: I asked this question on SE/Psychology and Neuroscience and did not receive meaningful answers.







reference-request game-theory bayesian-game






share|improve this question















share|improve this question













share|improve this question




share|improve this question








edited Mar 8 at 3:41









Herr K.

7,13831235




7,13831235










asked Mar 8 at 1:25









Peter LeopoldPeter Leopold

1256




1256







  • 3




    $begingroup$
    You might want to consider the Keynesian beauty contest
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Mar 8 at 8:47












  • 3




    $begingroup$
    You might want to consider the Keynesian beauty contest
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Mar 8 at 8:47







3




3




$begingroup$
You might want to consider the Keynesian beauty contest
$endgroup$
– Henry
Mar 8 at 8:47




$begingroup$
You might want to consider the Keynesian beauty contest
$endgroup$
– Henry
Mar 8 at 8:47










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes


















7












$begingroup$

Epistemic game theory would be the closest (sub-)field that deals with questions involving higher order beliefs among interacting agents.



The introductory article by Dekel and Siniscalchi is a good entry point to the literature. From its introduction:




Epistemic game theory formalizes assumptions about rationality and mutual beliefs in a formal language, then studies their behavioral implications in games. Specifically, it asks: what do different notions of rationality and different assumptions about what players believe about ... what others believe about the rationality of players imply regarding play in a game?




"Epistemic Foundations of Game Theory" on the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy has a less technical introduction.



There is also a strand of literature in behavioral economics that studies cognitive hierarchies. The theories there are developed mostly to explain behaviors in the lab settings. Crawford, Costa-Gomes, and Iriberri (2013) provide a good summary.






share|improve this answer









$endgroup$




















    3












    $begingroup$

    It's basically what Keynes called the «beauty contest». Back then the newspaper offered rewards to the person that was able to guess who where the pretiest girls (determined by the poll).
    My english is bad (french student). hope i was a little help.






    share|improve this answer











    $endgroup$












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      2 Answers
      2






      active

      oldest

      votes








      2 Answers
      2






      active

      oldest

      votes









      active

      oldest

      votes






      active

      oldest

      votes









      7












      $begingroup$

      Epistemic game theory would be the closest (sub-)field that deals with questions involving higher order beliefs among interacting agents.



      The introductory article by Dekel and Siniscalchi is a good entry point to the literature. From its introduction:




      Epistemic game theory formalizes assumptions about rationality and mutual beliefs in a formal language, then studies their behavioral implications in games. Specifically, it asks: what do different notions of rationality and different assumptions about what players believe about ... what others believe about the rationality of players imply regarding play in a game?




      "Epistemic Foundations of Game Theory" on the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy has a less technical introduction.



      There is also a strand of literature in behavioral economics that studies cognitive hierarchies. The theories there are developed mostly to explain behaviors in the lab settings. Crawford, Costa-Gomes, and Iriberri (2013) provide a good summary.






      share|improve this answer









      $endgroup$

















        7












        $begingroup$

        Epistemic game theory would be the closest (sub-)field that deals with questions involving higher order beliefs among interacting agents.



        The introductory article by Dekel and Siniscalchi is a good entry point to the literature. From its introduction:




        Epistemic game theory formalizes assumptions about rationality and mutual beliefs in a formal language, then studies their behavioral implications in games. Specifically, it asks: what do different notions of rationality and different assumptions about what players believe about ... what others believe about the rationality of players imply regarding play in a game?




        "Epistemic Foundations of Game Theory" on the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy has a less technical introduction.



        There is also a strand of literature in behavioral economics that studies cognitive hierarchies. The theories there are developed mostly to explain behaviors in the lab settings. Crawford, Costa-Gomes, and Iriberri (2013) provide a good summary.






        share|improve this answer









        $endgroup$















          7












          7








          7





          $begingroup$

          Epistemic game theory would be the closest (sub-)field that deals with questions involving higher order beliefs among interacting agents.



          The introductory article by Dekel and Siniscalchi is a good entry point to the literature. From its introduction:




          Epistemic game theory formalizes assumptions about rationality and mutual beliefs in a formal language, then studies their behavioral implications in games. Specifically, it asks: what do different notions of rationality and different assumptions about what players believe about ... what others believe about the rationality of players imply regarding play in a game?




          "Epistemic Foundations of Game Theory" on the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy has a less technical introduction.



          There is also a strand of literature in behavioral economics that studies cognitive hierarchies. The theories there are developed mostly to explain behaviors in the lab settings. Crawford, Costa-Gomes, and Iriberri (2013) provide a good summary.






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$



          Epistemic game theory would be the closest (sub-)field that deals with questions involving higher order beliefs among interacting agents.



          The introductory article by Dekel and Siniscalchi is a good entry point to the literature. From its introduction:




          Epistemic game theory formalizes assumptions about rationality and mutual beliefs in a formal language, then studies their behavioral implications in games. Specifically, it asks: what do different notions of rationality and different assumptions about what players believe about ... what others believe about the rationality of players imply regarding play in a game?




          "Epistemic Foundations of Game Theory" on the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy has a less technical introduction.



          There is also a strand of literature in behavioral economics that studies cognitive hierarchies. The theories there are developed mostly to explain behaviors in the lab settings. Crawford, Costa-Gomes, and Iriberri (2013) provide a good summary.







          share|improve this answer












          share|improve this answer



          share|improve this answer










          answered Mar 8 at 3:40









          Herr K.Herr K.

          7,13831235




          7,13831235





















              3












              $begingroup$

              It's basically what Keynes called the «beauty contest». Back then the newspaper offered rewards to the person that was able to guess who where the pretiest girls (determined by the poll).
              My english is bad (french student). hope i was a little help.






              share|improve this answer











              $endgroup$

















                3












                $begingroup$

                It's basically what Keynes called the «beauty contest». Back then the newspaper offered rewards to the person that was able to guess who where the pretiest girls (determined by the poll).
                My english is bad (french student). hope i was a little help.






                share|improve this answer











                $endgroup$















                  3












                  3








                  3





                  $begingroup$

                  It's basically what Keynes called the «beauty contest». Back then the newspaper offered rewards to the person that was able to guess who where the pretiest girls (determined by the poll).
                  My english is bad (french student). hope i was a little help.






                  share|improve this answer











                  $endgroup$



                  It's basically what Keynes called the «beauty contest». Back then the newspaper offered rewards to the person that was able to guess who where the pretiest girls (determined by the poll).
                  My english is bad (french student). hope i was a little help.







                  share|improve this answer














                  share|improve this answer



                  share|improve this answer








                  edited Mar 12 at 6:18









                  Giskard

                  13.3k32248




                  13.3k32248










                  answered Mar 12 at 3:36









                  alek racicotalek racicot

                  312




                  312



























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